Canada’s unemployment rate has trended higher once again this month, according to the latest iteration of Statistics Canada’s November labour force survey.
The survey reported that Canada’s jobless rate rose to 5.8 per cent in November - up from 5.7 per cent in October - which is being credited to the Bank of Canada's steep interest rate hikes and their detrimental effect on the economy.
While employment increased in manufacturing (+28,000; +1.6%) and construction (+16,000, +1.0%), declines occurred across retail (-27,000; -0.9%), finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing (-18,000; -1.3%).
However, Canada’s economy added a modest 25,000 jobs last month, falling short of the pace of population growth. Due to this, economists maintain the Bank of Canada will continue to hold its key interest rate steady.
Unsurprisingly, the people of LinkedIn have some choice thoughts about Canada’s “labour-constrained economy”.
David-Alexandre Brassard, chief economist at Chartered Professional Accountants of Canada (CPA Canada), said: “The interest rates are starting to bite like we expected them to, resulting in a stunted economy. The labour market holding strong illustrates that we are in a labour-constrained economy.”
“Wage pressures by themselves should not be enough to maintain inflation in unsustainable territory. On the contrary, higher interest rates seem to be sufficiently constraining and we can expect the Bank of Canada to hold their ground with no changes to the rate in next week’s announcement,” he continued.
On the plus side, hourly wages rose 4.8% (+$1.57 to $34.28) on a year-over-year basis due to staff asking for more money to combat inflation.
On the topic,
Charles St-Arnaud, chief economist at Credit Union Central Alberta, remarked: “The Bank of Canada will take comfort in seeing slower momentum in wage gains, but wages continue to grow at levels that are disconnected from productivity gains.
“The rise in the unemployment rate suggests that some slack is gradually building up in the labour market, which should help ease some of the upside pressures on wages.”
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