It looks like the Canadian unemployment rise is beginning to plateau, with an estimated loss of 6,400 jobs nationwide in July. (source: Reuters via Statistics Canada).
This marks the third month of stable employment loss in a row at 5.5%, trumping initial predictions from analysts for the economy to add about 21,100 jobs.
Most of these job losses took place across construction and transportation; but on a brighter note, the health care and educational sectors saw the largest increases at 25,000 and 19,000 new roles, respectively.
Speaking of Canada’s unemployment rate, deputy chief North America economist at
Capital Economics
Stephen Brown said: “The small fall in employment and rise in the unemployment rate in July show that the labour market continues to loosen, suggesting that the unexpected jump in wage growth last month is unlikely to be sustained.
“With the Bank of Canada implying that the data need to surprise to the upside to warrant another interest rate hike, the softer labour market data support our view that the Bank is unlikely to follow through with current market pricing by raising rates further."
Alberta, on the other hand, has seen the healthiest growth in employment rates of all the provinces, adding roughly 12,000 jobs across the province.
And to end on an optimistic note, average hourly wages grew five per cent after similar increases in May and June, marking a positive turn in compensation for workers (source:
CBC).
Chief economist at
Deloitte Canada
Dawn Desjardins told CBC: "We're not looking at a terrible labour market by any stretch.
"Over time you would anticipate that that would lead to slower wage growth, which of course is sort of what the central bank is looking for easing up in those inflation pressures."
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